QUARTERLY LETTERS

Q3 2021 Market Update

From All Time Highs to Slowing Growth U.S. economic growth is estimated to be slower than it was in Q2 2021, driven by a confluence of events – labor shortages, supply chain issues, spikes in COVID cases and rising energy costs. While COVID cases appear to be declining, we are still waiting longer for that…

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Q3 2020 Survival of the Fittest

Survival of the Fittest The market rally that began in March continues its historic run. In stark contrast with what is happening on Main Street, Wall Street has performed exceptionally well, with the S&P 500 posting its best two consecutive quarters in the last 20 years! That incredible performance has not been uniform across all…

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Q2 2020 The “New” New Normal

THE “NEW” NEW NORMAL  There are many superlatives to choose from to describe last quarter’s rally. This winter saw the quickest pivot to a bear market in history, followed by an equally rapid rebound in the spring. In fact, we just experienced the strongest 100-day rally since 1933.[1] After the market bottomed on March 23rd,…

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Q1 2020 The Arrival of COVID-19

The Arrival of COVID-19 We hope that you, your family, and loved ones are holding up and doing well in these unprecedented times. There is no need to explain in detail what happened to the markets during the first quarter; we are all too familiar with the declines. That said, it was the worst quarter…

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Q2 2019 Record Highs and a Record Win

Record Highs and a Record Win Equity markets notched another fine quarter to close out the first half of the year with gains across the board. The first six months of the year marks the strongest stock market since 1997. There are many reasons markets are hitting all-time highs: employment is strong, the economy just…

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Q2 2018 Tariffs and World Cup Football

Tariffs and World Cup Football The second quarter equity markets were dominated by headlines surrounding the Trump administration’s proposed tariffs. The tariff talk subsequently turned into action with new tariffs enacted by the US, China, Mexico, Canada, the European Union, India and Turkey. The net effect on US GDP is, at worst, estimated to be…

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Q1 2018 Defensive Investing

The first quarter could very well turn out to be a memorable inflection point in this 10-year bull market. The broad indices ended their nine-quarter streak of positive returns, volatility returned with markets moving up or down with much greater magnitude, and the bull market leaders Facebook, Apple, Amazon, Netflix and Google are not looking…

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